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Highlights

Bayesians seemed to me a little wild-eyed, bordering on the religious. It did not help that the movement traced its origins to a literal religious leader, the Reverend Thomas Bayes. (View Highlight)

For Bayesians, probability was a deeply held personal sense of how the world tended to go, constrained only by the need to be consistent with their beliefs as a whole, and by compatibility with the available data. (View Highlight)

Bayesianism is often described as a form of rational subjectivity, treating probability as a property of the mind, constrained by internal consistency and by the data. Frequentism is cast as its opposite, treating probability as an objective feature of the world and resisting any extension of statistical reasoning beyond what can be directly observed. (View Highlight)